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Pilot Stakeholder Analysis/Presentations

Since 2002, the Bank has conducted three pilot stakeholder analyses that use an approach based on game theoretic models to predict stakeholder actions.

Two pilots were conducted in the East Asia Pacific region – one in a low-income country and one in a middle-income country. The low-income country was in the process of introducing both anti-corruption and civil service reforms, whereas the middle-income country introducing only anti-corruption reforms. The analysis used a method that collected data only through interviews with experts, categorized stakeholder attributes by position on the issue, power, salience, and effective power, and then predicted negotiation outcomes through round by round bargaining simulations. Information from the round by round simulations suggested that changing stakeholder positions through bargaining would be difficult.

The third pilot stakeholder analysis conducted in MENA region examined stakeholder positions and interests with regard to cereal policy reform. This analysis was significant in understanding the political economy around a sensitive policy concern. (For example, the analysis revealed the multiple levels of decision-making within the government and illustrated for the country team the significant political economy impediments to cereal policy reform). Using similar methodology as in the pilots in East Asia, the analysis identified key stakeholders likely to block or promote reform and provided the task team with a possible foundation for strategies, negotiations and tradeoffs necessary for arriving at more realistic and sustainable reform proposals.

Power-point presentations summarizing the above pilot studies and their findings below.